American Stock Market 2025: Short- and Long-Term Forecasts

S&P 500 Monthly Index 17.01.24

American Stock Market S&P 500 Index Forecast Today

Predictions and analysis of the US stock market in the short, medium, and long term using WD Gann’s temporal economic cycles.

American Stock Market S&P 500 Index – Weekly

From the end of February until mid-April 2025, the S&P 500 Index underwent a sharp correction, bringing prices back to the April 2024 lows at 4,835 points.

In the week of 18 April 2025, we saw the first positive recovery, with a bullish breakout above the high of the candle corresponding to the Stock Market Signal of the Minimum Square on 11 April:

As we can see from the chart above, the US market continued its upward movement from the week of 18 April 2025 through the subsequent weekly setups, maintaining the ascending trend until 1 August.

The US stock market reached a top of 6,427 points during the Range Square of 1 August 2025.

On this occasion, the S&P 500 Index generated a bearish outside bar, temporarily halting the positive momentum.

However, the Minimum Square expiring on 15 August broke the previous bearish outside bar to the upside, restoring a new short-term progressive action.

Next signals: 12–19 September 2025.

Resistance levels: around 6,570; 6,640.
Support levels: around 6,365; 6,260.

American Stock Market S&P 500 Forecast – September–October 2025

The bullish breakout of the April monthly setup, which occurred in May, established a new medium-term upward phase in the S&P 500 Index, also confirmed by the Minimum Square of June 2025.

In the last month, the market continued its positive acceleration, reaching the 1X2 angular resistance around 6,420 in August.

Next monthly signal: September 2025.

Resistance levels: around 6,520; 6,645 points.
A drop below 6,180 points would be the first sign of weakness: support levels: around 6,040 points.

Long-term trend of the US stock market

With the bearish breakout of the December 2024 quarterly setup, the US stock market signalled a progressive negative trend, with prices reaching the lower side of the descending channel at 4,835 points.

However, in the second quarter of 2025, coinciding with the Minimum Square, the US stock market produced a bullish outside bar, effectively restoring the long-term positive trend.

Resistance levels: around 6,645; 6,970.

The financial article on the S&P 500 Index market has been described using Gann’s technique and with the use of the Top Trader© stock market software.